Primary School Roll Forecasts Summer Term 2023
Date: 19/06/2023

East Bergholt CEVC Primary School
DfE Code Age Range School Capacity PAN
3085 5-11 years 210 30

Arrival rates for incoming pupils
Forecast Arrivals
Year 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
September numbers of reception
age children in catchment area
18 24 17 16 10
Year 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Actual arrivals by Jan

21 30 22 18 12

Actual/Forecast peak rolls broken down by age groups
Nat Curr
year
Academic
Age
Actual pupil rolls Forecast peak age group sizes
2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27 2027/28
R 4+ 30 30 30 28 21 30 22 18 12
1 5+ 26 30 29 30 28 21 30 22 18
2 6+ 31 26 30 29 30 28 21 30 22
3 7+ 30 30 27 31 29 30 28 21 30
4 8+ 24 27 28 28 31 29 30 28 21
5 9+ 31 26 27 27 28 31 29 30 28
6 10+ 30 31 27 28 27 28 31 29 30
7 11+
Age group totals 202 200 198 201 194 197 191 178 161
Potential year-on-year changes 0 0 0 0 0
Potential pupils from new housing 16 33 47 47 47

Forecast Summer term total rolls 210 230 238 225 208

Primary School Roll Forecasts Summer Term 2023
Date: 19/06/2023

East Bergholt CEVC Primary School

Housing developments wholly or partly within the school catchment area
Application
Reference
Location
Total
Units
Estimated Housing Completions
2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028+
B/15/00673/FUL North of Moores Lane, High Trees Farm 144 45 45 39 0 0 0
B/16/01092/OUT
(DC/20/04663/RES)
Heath Road (south of) (east of County
Medical Centre)
75 25 30 20 0 0 0

Totals 219 70 75 59 0 0 0

Estimated numbers of pupils from new housing developments
Aggregated estimates of pupils from new housing developments 16 33 47 47 47

Primary School Roll Forecasts Summer Term 2023
Date: 19/06/2023